2022 GA Governor Race

2022 GA Governor Race

Summary

The 2022 Georgia gubernatorial election will take place on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of Georgia. The primary occurred on May 24, 2022.

Incumbent Republican governor Brian Kemp is running for re-election and is endorsed by former Vice President Mike Pence. He faced a primary challenge from former U.S. Senator David Perdue, who was endorsed by former President Donald Trump because Kemp refused to overturn the results of the 2020 presidential election in Georgia.

Stacey Abrams, the former Minority Leader of the Georgia House of Representatives and founder of Fair Fight Action who was narrowly defeated by Kemp in the 2018 gubernatorial election, is once again seeking the Democratic nomination for governor. This will be Georgia’s first gubernatorial rematch since 1950.

Libertarian Shane T. Hazel, the Libertarian nominee for US Senate in 2020, has also declared that he will run.[Independent Al Bartell has filed campaign paperwork.

Source: Wikipedia

OnAir Post: 2022 GA Governor Race

News

Now that David Alfred Perdue’s bloodied political corpse has been dispatched to its final resting place at Sea Island (without, we can probably surmise, even a brief opportunity to lie in state at Mar-a-Lago), the long-awaited gubernatorial heavyweight rematch between Brian Kemp, the incumbent Republican, and Democratic Party challenger Stacey Abrams can begin in earnest.

It’s arguably been underway for a while now.  Early last week, even before the party primaries, the Kemp camp fired a salvo at Abrams for what they and some in the media called a “gaffe” – a statement that she was weary of listening to Kemp brag about Georgia being the No. 1 state in which to do business while it was “the worst state in the country to live.”

I’ll offer a contrarian view.

Georgia as a whole may not deserve the “worst place to live” label, but rural Georgia arguably does. In fact, much of Republican Georgia would qualify for that title.

Brian Kemp

Source: For more information

Current Position: Governor since 2018
Affiliation: Republican
Candidate: 2022 Governor
Former Position(s): Secretary of State from 2010 – 2018; State Senator from 2003 – 2007

Stacey Abrams

Source: For more information

Stacey Abrams

Current Position: Tax attorney, entrepreneur, writer, and small business owner
Affiliation: Democrat
Candidate: 2022 Governor
Former Position(s): State Delegate for District 89 from 2007 – 2017

Mission: “Opportunity and success in Georgia shouldn’t be determined by zipcode, background, or power. By tackling the issues that matter the most to Georgians, we can help everyone thrive and work together to create a stronger Georgia – one that works for all.”

OnAir Video:  Stacey Abrams – Her Issues
OnAir video
Stacey Abrams – Her Story

OnAir Post:  Stacey Abrams
Related Categories:  2022 Governor Race; Featured Posts (don’t show as secondary category?)

Wikipedia

The 2022 Georgia gubernatorial election took place on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of Georgia. Incumbent Republican governor Brian Kemp won re-election to a second term, defeating Democratic nominee Stacey Abrams in a rematch. Abrams conceded on election night.[1] The primary occurred on May 24, 2022.[2] Kemp was sworn in for a second term on January 9, 2023.

Kemp was endorsed by former vice president Mike Pence and former president George W. Bush. He faced a primary challenge from former U.S. Senator David Perdue, who was endorsed by former president Donald Trump after Kemp refused to overturn the results of the 2020 presidential election in Georgia. Trump ultimately gave Kemp a last-minute endorsement in the general election.[3]

Stacey Abrams, the former minority leader of the Georgia House of Representatives and founder of Fair Fight Action who was narrowly defeated by Kemp in the 2018 gubernatorial election, was once again the Democratic nominee for the governorship. This was Georgia's first gubernatorial rematch since 1950.[4]

Libertarian Shane T. Hazel, the Libertarian nominee for U.S. Senate in 2020, also declared he would run.[5] This race was one of six Republican-held governorships up for election in 2022 in a state carried by Joe Biden in the 2020 presidential election.

Kemp won his first term by a narrow 55,000-vote margin (1.4%) in 2018, which was Georgia's closest gubernatorial election since 1966. In 2022, however, pre-election forecasting showed a solid lead for Kemp throughout and he ultimately won re-election by nearly 300,000 votes (7.5%) - the largest raw vote victory for a Georgia governor since 2006. The race was seen as a potential benefit to Herschel Walker, who ran in the concurrent Senate race, as it was speculated Kemp's strong performance could help Walker avoid a runoff. He underperformed compared to Kemp, however, and narrowly lost to incumbent Democratic senator Raphael Warnock in the December 6 runoff election.[6]

Republican primary

Incumbent governor Brian Kemp faced criticism from former president Donald Trump for his refusal to overturn the results of the 2020 United States presidential election. Kemp was booed at the Georgia Republican Convention in June 2021,[7] and in December former senator David Perdue announced a primary challenge to Kemp and was promptly endorsed by Trump. Initial polling showed a competitive race, however, Kemp significantly outraised his opponent and signed conservative legislation such as permitless carry of firearms and a temporary suspension of the gas tax that shored up his position among voters, and on election day, he won by over 50 points, a margin far larger than predicted.[8][9][10]

Candidates

Nominee

Former U.S. Senator David Perdue finished second in the primary.

Eliminated in primary

Withdrawn

Declined

Debates

2022 Georgia gubernatorial Republican primary election debates
No.DateOrganizerLocation P  Participant  A  Absent (invited)  I  Invited  N  Not invitedSource
Catherine DavisBrian KempDavid PerdueKandiss TaylorTom Williams
1April 24, 2022WSB-TVAtlantaNPPNN[24]
2April 28, 2022WTOC-TVSavannahNPPNN[25]
3May 2, 2022Atlanta Press Club,
Georgia Public Broadcasting
AtlantaPPPPP[18][26]

Endorsements

Vernon Jones (withdrew)
Brian Kemp

Executive Branch officials

U.S. Governors

State officials

Municipal officials

Organizations

David Perdue

Executive Branch officials

Governors

U.S. representatives

State legislators

Kandiss Taylor

Organizations

Individuals

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of April 30, 2022
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Brian Kemp (R)$22,427,829$11,687,287$10,740,541
David Perdue (R)$3,475,864$2,577,546$898,318
Source: Georgia Campaign Finance Commission[46][47]

Polling

Graphical summary

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Brian
Kemp
David
Perdue
Kandiss
Taylor
Other
[a]
Margin
Real Clear Politics[48]May 20–23, 2022May 24, 202254.7%35.3%5.3%4.7%Kemp +19.4
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Brian
Kemp
Vernon
Jones
David
Perdue
Kandiss
Taylor
OtherUndecided
The Trafalgar Group (R)[49]May 21–23, 20221,074 (LV)± 2.9%52%38%5%1%[c]4%
Landmark Communications (R)[50]May 22, 2022500 (LV)± 4.4%60%30%5%1%[d]4%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[51]May 20–21, 2022750 (LV)± 3.6%52%38%6%1%[e]4%
Fox News[52]May 12–16, 20221,004 (LV)± 3.0%60%28%6%2%[f]3%
ARW Strategies (R)[53]April 30 – May 1, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%59%22%7%2%[g]11%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[54]April 28 – May 1, 2022750 (LV)± 3.6%54%38%4%2%[h]2%
SurveyUSA[55]April 22–27, 2022559 (LV)± 4.9%56%31%3%2%[i]8%
University of Georgia[56]April 10–22, 2022886 (LV)± 3.3%53%27%4%1%[j]15%
Guidant Polling & Strategy (R)[57][A]April 18–21, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%57%31%12%
Landmark Communications (R)[58]April 9–10, 2022660 (LV)± 3.8%52%28%10%1%[k]10%
Spry Strategies (R)[59]April 6–10, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%47%35%3%1%[l]14%
University of Georgia[60]March 20 – April 8, 2022~329 (LV)± 5.4%48%37%2%1%[m]12%
Emerson College[61]April 1–3, 2022509 (LV)± 4.3%43%32%2%6%[n]17%
Cygnal (R)[62][B]March 30–31, 2022825 (LV)± 3.4%49%33%5%1%[o]12%
BK Strategies (R)[63]March 6–8, 2022500 (LV)± 4.4%48%33%4%14%
Fox News[64]March 2–6, 2022914 (LV)± 3.0%50%39%4%6%
American Viewpoint (R)[65]March 1–3, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%51%35%6%8%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[66]February 28 – March 1, 2022750 (LV)± 3.6%44%35%3%3%[p]15%
The Trafalgar Group (R)[67]February 11–13, 20221,072 (LV)± 3.0%49%40%3%1%[q]8%
February 7, 2022Jones withdraws from the race
Quinnipiac University[68]January 19–24, 2022666 (LV)± 3.8%43%10%36%4%1%[r]5%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[69]December 6, 2021500 (LV)± 4.4%41%11%22%4%23%
American Viewpoint (R)[70][C]December 1–6, 20211,050 (LV)± 3.0%54%12%22%3%7%
The Trafalgar Group (R)[71]September 2–4, 20211,076 (LV)± 3.0%48%25%7%1%[s]19%
Fabrizio Lee (R)[72][D]August 11–12, 2021500 (LV)± 4.4%41%19%16%3%<1%[t]20%
Hypothetical polling

Runoff polling
Doug Collins vs. Brian Kemp

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Doug
Collins
Brian
Kemp
Undecided
UNLV Business School[73]December 30, 2020 – January 3, 2021209 (LV)± 7.0%29%48%23%
The Trafalgar Group (R)[74]December 25–27, 2020– (LV)53%32%16%

Marjorie Taylor Greene vs. Brian Kemp

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Marjorie Taylor
Greene
Brian
Kemp
Undecided
UNLV Business School[73]December 30, 2020 – January 3, 2021209 (LV)± 7.0%14%60%26%

Brian Kemp vs. David Perdue

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Brian
Kemp
David
Perdue
Undecided
Emerson College[61]April 1–3, 2022509 (LV)± 4.3%44%39%16%
Cygnal (R)[62][B]March 30–31, 2022825 (LV)± 3.4%52%37%10%
Fabrizio Lee (R)[75][E]December 7–9, 2021800 (LV)± 3.5%44%47%9%
Fabrizio Lee (R)[72][D]August 11–12, 2021500 (LV)± 4.4%46%40%14%

Brian Kemp vs. Herschel Walker

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Brian
Kemp
Herschel
Walker
Undecided
UNLV Business School[73]December 30, 2020 – January 3, 2021209 (LV)± 7.0%50%25%25%

Results

Results by county:
  Kemp
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
Republican primary results[76]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanBrian Kemp (incumbent) 888,078 73.72%
RepublicanDavid Perdue262,38921.78%
RepublicanKandiss Taylor41,2323.42%
RepublicanCatherine Davis9,7780.81%
RepublicanTom Williams3,2550.27%
Total votes1,204,742 100.0%

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Declined

Endorsements

Stacey Abrams

U.S. senators

State officials

Labor unions

Organizations

Results

Democratic primary results[76]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticStacey Abrams 727,168 100.0%
Total votes727,168 100.0%

Independent and third-party candidates

The Libertarian nominee, Shane Hazel

Declared

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[91]Lean RJuly 22, 2022
Inside Elections[92]Lean RNovember 3, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[93]Likely RNovember 7, 2022
Politico[94]Lean ROctober 3, 2022
RCP[95]Lean RSeptember 20, 2022
Fox News[96]Lean RSeptember 20, 2022
FiveThirtyEight[97]Likely ROctober 27, 2022
Elections Daily[98]Likely RNovember 7, 2022

Debates

2022 Georgia gubernatorial debates
No.DateHostModeratorLinkRepublicanDemocraticLibertarian
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Non-invitee   I  Invitee W  Withdrawn
Brian KempStacey AbramsShane Hazel
1Oct. 17, 202211 AlivePPP
2Oct. 30, 2022WSB-TVPPN

Endorsements

Brian Kemp (R)
Executive Branch officials

U.S. senators

U.S. representatives

U.S. Governors

State officials

State officials

Municipal officials

Individuals

Organizations

Stacey Abrams (D)

Executive Branch officials

U.S. senators

U.S. representatives

U.S. Governors

State officials

Labor unions

Organizations

Individuals

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2022
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Brian Kemp (R)$44,593,500$40,666,892$3,926,608
Stacey Abrams (D)$54,021,428$53,951,027$70,400
Source: Georgia Campaign Finance Commission[134][135]

Polling

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Brian
Kemp (R)
Stacey
Abrams (D)
Other
[u]
Margin
Real Clear Politics[136]November 1–7, 2022November 8, 202252.8%44.5%2.7%Kemp +8.3
FiveThirtyEight[137]February 6 – November 8, 2022November 8, 202252.2%44.4%3.4%Kemp +7.8
270ToWin[138]November 7, 2022November 8, 202252.2%45.0%4.5%Kemp +6.3
Average52.4%44.6%3.0%Kemp +7.8

Graphical summary

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Brian
Kemp (R)
Stacey
Abrams (D)
OtherUndecided
Landmark Communications[139]November 4–7, 20221,214 (LV)± 2.8%52%46%2%[v]1%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[140]November 6, 2022550 (LV)± 4.2%50%45%1%[w]4%
Research Co.[141]November 4–6, 2022450 (LV)± 4.6%51%44%1%[x]4%
The Trafalgar Group (R)[142]November 4–6, 20221,103 (LV)± 2.9%53%44%2%[y]1%
Data for Progress (D)[143]November 2–6, 20221,474 (LV)± 3.0%54%45%2%[z]
Targoz Market Research[144]November 2–6, 2022579 (LV)± 4.0%56%42%3%[aa]
East Carolina University[145]November 2–5, 20221,077 (LV)± 3.5%53%46%1%[ab]1%
Amber Integrated (R)[146]November 1–2, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%52%43%1%[ac]3%
Remington Research Group (R)[147]November 1–2, 20221,150 (LV)± 2.8%55%41%1%[ad]3%
Echleon Insights[148]October 31 – November 2, 2022550 (LV)± 5.4%50%43%3%[ae]4%
Marist College[149]October 31 – November 2, 20221,168 (RV)± 3.9%51%45%<1%[af]4%
1,009 (LV)± 4.2%53%45%2%
SurveyUSA[150]October 29 – November 2, 20221,171 (LV)± 3.7%52%45%1%[ag]2%
Patinkin Research Strategies (D)[151][F]October 30 – November 1, 2022700 (RV)± 3.7%49%47%2%[ah]2%
Emerson College[152]October 28–31, 20221,000 (LV)± 3.0%52%46%2%[ai]1%
52%46%2%[aj]
Seven Letter Insight[153]October 24–31, 2022762 (LV)± 3.6%49%44%4%[ak]4%
Fox News[154]October 26–30, 20221,002 (RV)± 3.0%49%43%3%[al]5%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[155]October 27, 2022550 (LV)± 4.2%52%43%1%[am]5%
Siena College/NYT[156]October 24–27, 2022604 (LV)± 4.8%50%45%1%[an]4%
University of Georgia[157]October 16–27, 20221,022 (LV)± 3.1%51%44%2%[ao]3%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[158]October 23–24, 20221,053 (LV)± 3.0%51%41%
The Trafalgar Group (R)[159][G]October 21–23, 20221,076 (LV)± 2.9%52%45%3%[ap]
East Carolina University[160]October 13–18, 2022905 (LV)± 3.8%51%44%2%[aq]3%
Landmark Communications[161]October 15–17, 2022500 (LV)± 4.4%51%45%2%[ar]2%
Data for Progress (D)[162]October 13–17, 2022984 (LV)± 3.0%53%43%1%[as]4%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[163]October 16, 2022550 (LV)± 4.2%50%43%2%[at]5%
Wick Insights[164]October 8–14, 20221,018 (LV)± 3.1%52%43%2%[au]3%
Civiqs[165]October 8–11, 2022717 (LV)± 4.6%51%46%1%[av]1%
The Trafalgar Group (R)[166]October 8–11, 20221,084 (LV)± 2.9%53%44%2%[aw]2%
Quinnipiac University[167]October 7–10, 20221,157 (LV)± 2.9%50%49%1%[ax]1%
Emerson College[168]October 6–7, 20221,000 (LV)± 3.0%51%46%1%[ay]2%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[169]October 4, 2022550 (LV)± 4.2%50%45%2%[az]3%
SurveyUSA[170]September 30 – October 4, 20221,076 (LV)± 3.7%47%45%3%[ba]5%
University of Georgia[171]September 25 – October 4, 20221,030 (LV)± 3.1%51%41%2%[bb]6%
Fox News[172]September 22–26, 20221,011 (RV)± 3.0%50%43%4%[bc]4%
Data for Progress (D)[173]September 16–20, 20221,006 (RV)± 3.0%51%44%3%[bd]2%
YouGov/CBS News[174]September 14–19, 20221,178 (RV)± 4.0%52%46%2%[be]0%
Patinkin Research Strategies (D)[175][F]September 14–18, 2022600 (RV)± 4.0%50%47%2%2%
University of Georgia[176]September 5–16, 2022861 (LV)± 3.3%50%42%2%6%
Marist College[177]September 12–15, 20221,202 (RV)± 3.6%50%44%2%[bf]4%
992 (LV)± 4.0%53%42%2%[bg]2%
Survey Monkey (D)[178][H]September 9–12, 2022949 (RV)± 3.0%45%46%9%
542 (LV)± 3.0%49%47%5%
Quinnipiac University[179]September 8–12, 20221,278 (LV)± 2.7%50%48%1%1%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[180]September 6–7, 2022550 (LV)± 4.2%50%42%2%[bh]6%
Echelon Insights[181]August 31 – September 7, 2022751 (LV)± 4.4%47%48%5%
Emerson College[182]August 28–29, 2022600 (LV)± 3.9%48%44%6%2%
TargetSmart (D)[183][I]August 22–29, 20222,327 (LV)± 3.1%48%46%2%[bi]3%
The Trafalgar Group (R)[166]August 24–27, 20221,079 (LV)± 2.9%51%44%2%[bj]4%
Phillips Academy[184]August 3–7, 2022971 (RV)± 3.1%51%44%5%
Research Affiliates (D)[185][J]July 26 – August 1, 2022420 (LV)± 4.8%47%47%6%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[186]July 26–27, 2022750 (LV)± 3.6%49%44%5%[bk]2%
Fox News[187]July 22–26, 2022901 (RV)± 3.0%47%44%1%7%
SurveyUSA[188]July 21–24, 2022604 (LV)± 5.3%45%44%4%7%
University of Georgia[189]July 14–22, 2022902 (LV)± 3.3%48%43%2%[bl]7%
Beacon Research (D)[190][K]July 5–20, 20221,003 (RV)± 3.1%45%44%1%7%
602 (LV)± 4.0%51%43%1%5%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[191]July 5–11, 20221,197 (LV)± 4.4%52%45%3%
Cygnal (R)[192][C]July 5–7, 20221,200 (LV)± 2.7%50%45%5%
Data for Progress (D)[193]July 1–6, 20221,131 (LV)± 3.0%53%44%3%
Change Research (D)[194][L]June 24–27, 2022704 (LV)± 3.7%49%47%4%
Quinnipiac University[195]June 23–27, 20221,497 (RV)± 2.5%48%48%1%3%
Moore Information Group (R)[196][M]June 11–16, 2022800 (LV)± 3.0%51%44%5%
East Carolina University[197]June 6–9, 2022868 (RV)± 3.9%51%45%2%2%
TargetSmart (D)[198][I]Late May 2022– (LV)51%43%2%4%
SurveyUSA[199]April 22–27, 20221,278 (LV)± 3.4%50%45%5%
Cygnal (R)[200][B]April 6–9, 2022800 (LV)± 3.4%50%44%6%
Emerson College[61]April 1–3, 20221,013 (RV)± 3.0%51%44%5%
Wick[201]February 2–6, 20221,290 (LV)± 2.7%49%44%7%
Quinnipiac University[68]January 19–24, 20221,702 (RV)± 2.4%49%47%3%
University of Georgia[202]January 13–24, 2022872 (RV)± 3.3%48%41%1%8%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[203]November 9, 2021753 (RV)± 3.6%44%41%3%6%
733 (LV)47%44%3%4%
UNLV Business School[73]December 30, 2020 – January 3, 2021550 (LV)± 4.0%44%40%16%
Hypothetical polling

Vernon Jones vs. Stacey Abrams

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Vernon
Jones (R)
Stacey
Abrams (D)
OtherUndecided
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[203]November 9, 2021753 (RV)± 3.6%37%42%2%12%
733 (LV)40%45%2%9%

Doug Collins vs. Stacey Abrams

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Doug
Collins (R)
Stacey
Abrams (D)
Undecided
UNLV Business School[73]December 30, 2020 – January 3, 2021550 (LV)± 4.0%44%42%14%

David Perdue vs. Stacey Abrams

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
David
Perdue (R)
Stacey
Abrams (D)
OtherUndecided
SurveyUSA[199]April 22–27, 20221,278 (LV)± 3.4%49%46%5%
Cygnal (R)[200][B]April 6–9, 2022800 (LV)± 3.4%47%48%5%
Emerson College[61]April 1–3, 20221,013 (RV)± 3.0%49%44%7%
Wick[201]February 2–6, 20221,290 (LV)± 2.7%47%45%8%
Quinnipiac University[68]January 19–24, 20221,702 (RV)± 2.4%48%48%1%3%
University of Georgia[202]January 13–24, 2022872 (RV)± 3.3%47%43%2%6%

Marjorie Taylor Greene vs. Stacey Abrams

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Marjorie Taylor
Greene (R)
Stacey
Abrams (D)
Undecided
UNLV Business School[73]December 30, 2020 – January 3, 2021550 (LV)± 4.0%41%42%16%

Herschel Walker vs. Stacey Abrams

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Herschel
Walker (R)
Stacey
Abrams (D)
Undecided
UNLV Business School[73]December 30, 2020 – January 3, 2021550 (LV)± 4.0%43%41%16%

Results

2022 Georgia gubernatorial election[204]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
RepublicanBrian Kemp (incumbent) 2,111,572 53.41% +3.19%
DemocraticStacey Abrams1,813,67345.88%−2.95%
LibertarianShane T. Hazel28,1630.71%−0.24%
Total votes3,953,408 100.00%
Turnout3,964,92657.02%
Registered electors6,953,485
Republican hold

By county

By county
CountyBrian Kemp
Republican
Stacey Abrams
Democratic
Shane Hazel
Libertarian
MarginTotal votes
#%#%#%#%
Appling5,55282.831,13116.87200.304,42165.966,703
Atkinson1,76778.6746720.79120.531,30057.882,246
Bacon3,31289.0139310.56160.432,91978.453,721
Baker75560.0250039.7530.2425520.271,258
Baldwin7,98753.246,91346.081020.681,0747.1615,002
Banks6,65190.796078.29680.936,04482.507,326
Barrow21,83374.197,30924.842880.9814,52449.3529,430
Bartow31,52878.838,13720.343320.8323,39158.4939,997
Ben Hill3,41266.671,68032.83260.511,73233.845,118
Berrien5,20986.5477212.83380.634,43773.716,019
Bibb22,39641.3231,51458.142900.54-9,11816.8254,200
Bleckley3,88680.8788318.38360.753,00362.494,805
Brantley5,41692.443936.71500.853,02385.735,859
Brooks3,64464.591,95934.72390.691,68329.875,642
Bryan12,18871.674,67627.501420.837,51269.1717,006
Bulloch16,06768.117,35231.161720.738,71536.9523,591
Burke4,68555.333,72043.94620.7396511.398,467
Butts7,22374.502,42024.96520.544,80349.549,695
Calhoun79346.2491953.5930.17-1267.351,715
Camden12,49469.625,26429.331871.047,23040.2917,945
Candler2,66674.8588524.85110.311,78150.003,562
Carroll32,09573.4011,25825.753740.8620,83747.6543,727
Catoosa20,00981.664,25517.372390.9815,75464.2924,503
Charlton2,65477.9472821.38230.681,92656.563,405
Chatham46,59343.8258,97855.477580.71-12,38511.65106,329
Chattahoochee58357.1642741.86100.9815615.301,020
Chattooga6,47183.911,19215.46490.645,27968.457,712
Cherokee89,32274.2029,89324.831,1590.9659,42949.37120,374
Clarke13,09132.4726,90166.733240.80-13,81034.2640,316
Clay57050.6255349.1130.27171.511,126
Clayton11,30613.4472,39986.054310.51-61,09372.6184,136
Clinch1,66878.9043320.48130.611,23558.422,114
Cobb147,69847.31161,87251.852,6450.85-14,1744.54312,215
Coffee8,81874.073,02125.38660.555,79748.6911,905
Colquitt9,86078.272,68421.30540.437,17656.9712,598
Columbia43,43767.2720,61731.935180.8022,82035.3464,572
Cook4,13874.461,38724.96320.582,75149.505,557
Coweta45,37671.2017,84728.015030.7927,52943.1963,726
Crawford3,63375.141,17124.22310.642,46250.924,835
Crisp4,29667.952,01331.84130.212,28336.116,322
Dade4,96985.0380713.81681.164,16271.225,844
Dawson12,01085.921,82713.071411.0110,18372.8513,978
Decatur5,65963.713,19135.92330.372,46827.798,883
DeKalb54,52218.28241,90181.111,8060.61-187,37962.83298,229
Dodge5,08776.731,51822.90250.383,56953.836,630
Dooly1,86056.601,41643.09100.3044413.513,286
Dougherty8,52431.9118,09167.73940.35-9,56735.8226,709
Douglas19,71937.2532,85862.083530.67-13,13924.8352,930
Early2,32159.391,57640.33110.2874519.063,908
Echols95689.77948.83151.4186280.941,065
Effingham19,55376.995,60322.062420.9513,95054.9325,398
Elbert5,36973.311,91626.16390.533,45347.157,324
Emanuel5,50572.802,02426.77330.443,48146.037,562
Evans2,46773.4088226.24120.361,58547.163,361
Fannin10,75285.081,79614.21890.708,95670.8712,637
Fayette34,11656.5325,76942.704610.768,34713.8360,346
Floyd23,93074.607,85524.492930.9116,07550.1132,078
Forsyth74,11672.3527,43426.788960.8746,68245.57102,446
Franklin7,73488.5094810.85570.656,78677.658,739
Fulton128,16730.52289,08568.852,6320.63-160,91838.33419,884
Gilmer11,95284.852,01014.271240.889,94270.5814,086
Glascock1,21192.80896.8250.381,12285.981,305
Glynn22,24566.8410,77932.392550.7711,46634.4533,279
Gordon16,00384.642,74314.511610.8513,26070.1318,907
Grady5,88470.542,42229.04350.423,46241.508,341
Greene7,40270.443,06029.12460.444,34241.3210,508
Gwinnett133,07644.44164,05154.782,3550.79-30,97510.34299,482
Habersham14,51385.422,32213.671550.9112,19171.7516,990
Hall56,57376.9516,29922.176440.8840,27454.7873,516
Hancock1,07331.542,31367.99160.47-1,24036.453,402
Haralson10,39889.251,16610.01870.759,23279.2411,651
Harris12,92475.854,00823.521070.638,91652.3317,039
Hart8,42679.792,03919.31950.906,38760.4810,560
Heard3,85886.4456812.73370.833,29073.714,463
Henry36,39238.0858,64361.365330.56-22,25123.2895,568
Houston34,84258.8423,92840.414400.7410,91418.4359,210
Irwin2,69578.8570220.54210.611,99358.313,418
Jackson26,22382.255,42017.002380.7520,80365.2531,881
Jasper5,23779.661,28619.56510.783,95160.106,574
Jeff Davis3,86585.0864614.22320.703,21970.864,543
Jefferson3,16250.373,08949.20270.43731.176,278
Jenkins1,89368.2487131.40100.361,02236.842,774
Johnson2,50474.0286725.63120.351,63748.393,383
Jones8,58369.713,65729.70720.584,92640.0112,312
Lamar5,73673.971,96325.31560.723,77348.667,755
Lanier1,93273.2469126.19150.571,24147.052,638
Laurens12,50867.435,97332.20690.376,53535.2318,550
Lee10,09474.293,41325.12800.596,68149.1713,587
Liberty6,06939.379,23559.911110.72-3,16620.5415,415
Lincoln2,96674.4999224.91240.601,97449.583,982
Long2,94466.521,44332.60390.881,50133.924,426
Lowndes21,25661.1513,27538.192290.667,98122.9634,760
Lumpkin10,52582.632,07016.251421.118,45566.3812,737
Macon1,55141.052,20958.47180.48-65817.423,778
Madison9,95579.302,50019.91990.797,45559.3912,554
Marion1,86865.6495433.52240.8491432.122,846
McDuffie5,28363.522,97835.81560.672,30527.718,317
McIntosh3,57064.711,92334.86240.441,64729.855,517
Meriwether5,70464.033,16035.47440.492,54428.568,908
Miller1,68978.0546221.35130.601,22756.702,164
Mitchell4,19759.522,82940.12260.371,36819.407,052
Monroe10,31475.193,31524.17890.656,99951.0213,718
Montgomery2,54578.8967020.77110.341,87558.123,226
Morgan7,76475.192,47323.95890.865,29151.2410,326
Murray10,29089.221,16010.06830.729,13079.1611,533
Muscogee23,92540.2435,14959.113880.65-11,22418.8759,462
Newton19,09444.5323,53154.882510.59-4,43710.3542,876
Oconee16,55373.645,78325.731420.6310,77047.9122,478
Oglethorpe4,99873.381,76625.93470.693,23247.456,811
Paulding43,99265.6622,42733.475850.8721,56532.1967,004
Peach5,54255.204,43144.14660.661,11111.0610,039
Pickens12,93785.762,04113.531080.7210,89672.2315,086
Pierce6,46290.046749.39410.575,78880.657,177
Pike8,30388.041,07511.40530.567,22876.649,431
Polk11,11781.502,42717.79960.708,69063.7113,640
Pulaski2,45272.6790526.82170.501,54745.853,374
Putnam7,68975.112,49724.39510.505,19250.7210,237
Quitman55561.2635038.6310.1120522.63906
Rabun6,76681.891,41517.13810.985,35164.768,262
Randolph1,24348.461,31751.3550.19-742.892,565
Richmond21,60233.6742,13065.674240.66-20,52832.0064,156
Rockdale9,93828.4724,75670.922140.61-14,81842.4534,908
Schley1,52681.3433918.07110.591,18763.271,876
Screven3,42264.411,87235.23190.361,55029.185,313
Seminole2,25574.0677325.39170.561,48248.673,045
Spalding15,09061.869,14637.491590.655,94424.3724,395
Stephens7,81883.171,50115.97810.866,31767.209,400
Stewart67342.7889556.9050.32-22214.121,573
Sumter4,92151.234,65048.41340.352712.829,605
Talbot1,21442.391,62856.84220.77-41414.452,864
Taliaferro32740.5247759.1130.37-15018.59807
Tattnall5,12378.491,35920.82450.693,76457.676,527
Taylor2,13766.451,06933.24100.311,06833.213,216
Telfair2,43371.2996028.13200.591,47343.163,413
Terrell1,79549.101,84050.33210.57-451.233,656
Thomas11,06263.996,13835.51870.504,92428.4817,287
Tift9,41872.203,54627.18800.615,87245.0213,044
Toombs6,52276.861,92022.63440.524,60254.238,486
Towns6,06684.481,05214.65620.865,01469.837,180
Treutlen1,76472.0367727.6480.331,08744.392,449
Troup14,86463.918,26235.531300.566,60228.3823,256
Turner1,99464.341,08334.95220.7191129.393,099
Twiggs1,98055.931,54243.56180.5143812.373,540
Union12,12384.712,07014.461190.8310,05370.2514,312
Upson7,09670.012,96929.29700.694,12740.7210,135
Walker18,41483.263,50515.851980.9014,90967.4122,117
Walton32,56776.719,57322.553120.7322,99454.1642,452
Ware7,85573.062,82826.30690.645,02746.7610,752
Warren1,06349.281,08150.12130.60-180.842,157
Washington4,09852.583,66547.02310.404335.567,794
Wayne8,17081.501,79617.92590.596,37463.5810,025
Webster70862.3242537.4130.2628324.911,136
Wheeler1,31872.1850127.4470.3881744.741,826
White10,99986.401,61812.711130.899,38173.6912,730
Whitfield20,91977.445,87421.742210.8215,04555.7027,014
Wilcox1,99876.2361323.39100.381,38552.842,621
Wilkes2,54561.351,58338.16200.4896223.194,148
Wilkinson2,36658.331,67341.25170.4269317.084,056
Worth5,64976.391,71623.20300.413,93353.197,395
Totals2,111,57253.411,813,67345.8828,1630.71297,8997.533,953,408

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

Kemp won 9 of 14 congressional districts.[205]

DistrictKempAbramsRepresentative
1st60%39%Buddy Carter
2nd48%52%Sanford Bishop
3rd68%31%Drew Ferguson
4th23%77%Hank Johnson
5th19%80%Nikema Williams
6th63%36%Lucy McBath (117th Congress)
Rich McCormick (118th Congress)
7th41%58%Carolyn Bourdeaux (117th Congress)
Lucy McBath (118th Congress)
8th68%32%Austin Scott
9th74%25%Andrew Clyde
10th65%35%Jody Hice (117th Congress)
Mike Collins (118th Congress)
11th62%37%Barry Loudermilk
12th59%40%Rick Allen
13th19%80%David Scott
14th72%28%Marjorie Taylor Greene

Analysis

Voter demographics

Voter demographic data was collected by CNN. The voter survey is based on exit polls.[206]

2022 Georgia gubernatorial election (CNN)[206]
Demographic subgroupKempAbrams% of
total vote
Ideology
Liberals69318
Moderates376141
Conservatives901041
Party
Democrats49635
Republicans98141
Independents494824
Age
18–24 years old33666
25–29 years old44556
30–39 years old465314
40–49 years old475117
50–64 years old584232
65 and older623725
Gender
Men584047
Women485153
Marital status
Married603962
Unmarried395938
Race/ethnicity
White742562
Black99028
Latino43556
Asian46542
Other47473
Gender by race
White men762331
White women722730
Black men148411
Black women69317
Latino men44553
Latino women43554
Other racial/ethnic groups47504
Education
Never attended college613816
Some college education534727
Associate degree524716
Bachelor's degree554323
Advanced degree435617
Education by race
White college graduates633627
White no college degree831734
Non-white college graduates237513
Non-white no college degree178225
Education by gender/race
White women with college degrees603913
White women without college degrees811817
White men with college degrees663314
White men without college degrees841618
Non-white197938
Issue regarded as most important
Crime524713
Inflation772236
Immigration86137
Gun policy425710
Abortion247426
Abortion should be
Legal287153
Illegal891043
2020 presidential vote
Biden69442
Trump97248
Confident your state's elections are accurate
Very confident435634
Somewhat confident574242
Not very confident693015
Not at all confident79196
Biden legitimately won in 2020
Yes247458
No94538
Area type
Urban346520
Suburban534653
Rural673227

See also

Notes

  1. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  2. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. ^ Davis with 1%
  4. ^ Davis with 1%
  5. ^ Davis with 1%
  6. ^ Davis with 1%, "Other" (volunteered response) with 1%
  7. ^ Davis with 1%, Williams with 0%
  8. ^ Davis and Williams with 1%
  9. ^ Davis and Williams with 1%
  10. ^ Davis with 1%, Williams with 0%
  11. ^ Davis with 1%
  12. ^ Davis with 1%
  13. ^ Davis with 1%, Williams with 0%
  14. ^ Davis with 5% and Williams with 1%
  15. ^ Davis with 1% and Williams with 0%
  16. ^ "Other" with 2%, Davis with 1%
  17. ^ Garcia with 1%
  18. ^ Davis with 1%
  19. ^ Garcia with 1%
  20. ^ Garcia with <1%
  21. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  22. ^ Hazel (L) with 2%
  23. ^ Hazel (L) with 1%
  24. ^ "Some other candidate" with 1%
  25. ^ Hazel (L) with 2%
  26. ^ Hazel (L) with 2%
  27. ^ Hazel (L) with 1%; "All others" with 2%
  28. ^ Hazel (L) with 1%
  29. ^ Hazel (L) with 1%
  30. ^ Hazel (L) with 1%
  31. ^ Hazel (L) with 3%
  32. ^ "Another party's candidate" with <1%
  33. ^ Hazel (L) with 1%
  34. ^ Hazel (L) with 2%
  35. ^ Hazel (L) with 1%; "Someone else" with 1%
  36. ^ Hazel (L) with 1%; "Someone else" with 1%
  37. ^ Hazel (L) with 4%
  38. ^ "Other" with 2%; "Wouldn't vote" with 1%
  39. ^ Hazel (L) with 1%
  40. ^ Hazel (L) with 1%
  41. ^ Hazel (L) with 2%
  42. ^ Hazel (L) with 3%
  43. ^ "Some other candidate" with 2%
  44. ^ Hazel (L) with 2%
  45. ^ Hazel (L) with 1%
  46. ^ Hazel (L) with 1%; "Other" with 0%
  47. ^ "Someone else" with 2%
  48. ^ "Someone else" with 1%
  49. ^ Hazel (L) with 2%
  50. ^ "Refused" with 1%
  51. ^ Hazel (L) with 1%; "Someone else" with <1%
  52. ^ Hazel (L) with 2%; "Other" with <1%
  53. ^ "Other candidate" with 3%
  54. ^ Hazel (L) with 2%
  55. ^ "Other" with 2%; "Wouldn't vote" with 2%
  56. ^ Hazel (L) with 3%
  57. ^ "Someone else" with 2%
  58. ^ Hazel (L) with 2%
  59. ^ Hazel (L) with 2%
  60. ^ Hazel with 3%
  61. ^ Hazel and "Other" with 1%
  62. ^ Hazel with 2%; "Other" with 0%
  63. ^ Hazel with 3%, "Other" with 2%
  64. ^ Bartell and Hazel with 1%

Partisan clients

  1. ^ This poll was sponsored by the Georgia Leadership Coalition.
  2. ^ a b c d This poll was sponsored by Hardworking Georgians, which supports Kemp.
  3. ^ a b This poll was sponsored by Kemp's campaign.
  4. ^ a b This poll was sponsored by Save America PAC.
  5. ^ This poll was sponsored by Perdue's campaign.
  6. ^ a b This poll was sponsored by Progress Georgia, an organization affiliated with the Georgia Democratic Party.
  7. ^ This poll was sponsored by The Daily Wire.
  8. ^ This poll was sponsored by Center Street PAC, which opposes Kemp.
  9. ^ a b This poll was sponsored by Abrams's campaign.
  10. ^ This poll was sponsored by Charlie Bailey's campaign for lieutenant governor.
  11. ^ This poll was sponsored by the Environmental Voter Project.
  12. ^ This poll was sponsored by Future Majority and America’s Future Majority Fund.
  13. ^ Poll sponsored by Walker's campaign for U.S. Senate

References

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  54. ^ InsiderAdvantage (R)
  55. ^ SurveyUSA
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  57. ^ Guidant Polling & Strategy (R)
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  59. ^ Spry Strategies (R)
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  63. ^ BK Strategies (R)
  64. ^ Fox News
  65. ^ American Viewpoint (R)
  66. ^ InsiderAdvantage (R)
  67. ^ The Trafalgar Group (R)
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  69. ^ InsiderAdvantage (R)
  70. ^ American Viewpoint (R)
  71. ^ The Trafalgar Group (R)
  72. ^ a b Fabrizio Lee (R)
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  75. ^ Fabrizio Lee (R)
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  138. ^ 270ToWin
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  140. ^ InsiderAdvantage (R)
  141. ^ Research Co.
  142. ^ The Trafalgar Group (R)
  143. ^ Data for Progress (D)
  144. ^ Targoz Market Research
  145. ^ East Carolina University
  146. ^ Amber Integrated (R)
  147. ^ Remington Research Group (R)
  148. ^ Echleon Insights
  149. ^ Marist College
  150. ^ SurveyUSA
  151. ^ Patinkin Research Strategies (D)
  152. ^ Emerson College
  153. ^ Seven Letter Insight
  154. ^ Fox News
  155. ^ InsiderAdvantage (R)
  156. ^ Siena College/NYT
  157. ^ University of Georgia
  158. ^ Rasmussen Reports (R)
  159. ^ The Trafalgar Group (R)
  160. ^ East Carolina University
  161. ^ Landmark Communications
  162. ^ Data for Progress (D)
  163. ^ InsiderAdvantage (R)
  164. ^ Wick Insights
  165. ^ Civiqs
  166. ^ a b The Trafalgar Group (R)
  167. ^ Quinnipiac University
  168. ^ Emerson College
  169. ^ InsiderAdvantage (R)
  170. ^ SurveyUSA
  171. ^ University of Georgia
  172. ^ Fox News
  173. ^ Data for Progress (D)
  174. ^ YouGov/CBS News
  175. ^ Patinkin Research Strategies (D)
  176. ^ University of Georgia
  177. ^ Marist College
  178. ^ Survey Monkey (D)
  179. ^ Quinnipiac University
  180. ^ InsiderAdvantage (R)
  181. ^ Echelon Insights
  182. ^ Emerson College
  183. ^ TargetSmart (D)
  184. ^ Phillips Academy
  185. ^ Research Affiliates (D)
  186. ^ InsiderAdvantage (R)
  187. ^ Fox News
  188. ^ SurveyUSA
  189. ^ University of Georgia
  190. ^ Beacon Research (D)
  191. ^ Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)
  192. ^ Cygnal (R)
  193. ^ Data for Progress (D)
  194. ^ Change Research (D)
  195. ^ Quinnipiac University
  196. ^ Moore Information Group (R)
  197. ^ East Carolina University
  198. ^ TargetSmart (D)
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  200. ^ a b Cygnal (R)
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  203. ^ a b Redfield & Wilton Strategies
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